Home > Economy > Argentina analysts cut 2024 inflation forecast to nearly 123%

Argentina analysts cut 2024 inflation forecast to nearly 123%

2024/09/25 9

BUENOS AIRES (Reuters) – Argentina’s monthly inflation rate stood at 3.9% in August and is expected to close the year at an annualized rate of nearly 123%, according to analysts surveyed by the central bank in a poll published on Thursday.

The new forecast marks a reduction of 4.75 percentage points compared to last month’s survey.

Prices are seen rising by 3.5% in September, according to the poll, slowing down after a surge that followed deep spending cuts as well as the devaluation of the peso currency enacted by libertarian President Javier Milei in a bid to reduce sky-high inflation.

Analysts also projected a 3.8% year-on-year drop in the South American economy’s real gross domestic product (GDP) for 2024, slightly lower than their prior estimate.

© Reuters. A woman buys fruits and vegetables at a greengrocery store in Buenos Aires, Argentina, December 12, 2023. REUTERS/Tomas Cuesta/ File Photo

“The activity level would begin to recover in the third quarter of the year, with a rise of 0.9%,” according to the survey, while participants estimated growth would average 3.5% in 2025.

The survey polled 42 analysts from August 28-30.

(Report by Nicolas Misculin; Editing by Sonali Paul)

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