Home > Economic Indicators > Brazil economic activity beats forecasts in November despite monetary tightening

Brazil economic activity beats forecasts in November despite monetary tightening

2025/01/17 1

BRASILIA (Reuters) – Economic activity in Brazil exceeded market expectations in November, official data showed on Thursday, adding to a string of stronger-than-anticipated performances despite the central bank’s ongoing monetary tightening cycle.

The IBC-Br index, a leading indicator of gross domestic product (GDP), rose 0.1% in seasonally adjusted terms from October, while economists polled by Reuters had expected no change.

On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, the index – which incorporates proxies for output in agriculture, industry, and services, as well as tax data on production – climbed 4.1% compared to November 2023 and increased 3.6% over 12 months.

The positive performance came despite weaker-than-expected data in November for the service sector, the main driver of Brazil’s economy, along with negative readings for retail sales and industrial output.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Cityscape of downtown Sao Paulo, Brazil January 13, 2025. REUTERS/Jorge Silva/File Photo

Finance Minister Fernando Haddad has stated that Latin America’s largest economy likely expanded 3.6% in 2024, more than double the forecasts by private economists at the beginning of last year.

The expansion has been fueled by strong household consumption and rising investment amid a tight labor market.

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